（英文）
户籍改革的重点已经加剧最近出现了新的机遇和挑战14
部门的影响 - 消费，城镇化，农业增效18
附录：重庆户口改革的案例研究23
点击这里下载：》》》》》》》》
Legacy hukou system still plays a major role today
China’s hukou (household registration) system, separating urban and rural
citizens, continues to determine a significant portion of eligibilities and
benefits relating to employment, education, and societal protections today.
Reforms that would relax some of the restrictions and gradually equalize
rights and benefits may play a major role in facilitating key objectives like
income equality and greater social safety nets; faster urbanization and
improved productivity. Better resource allocation and more geographically
balanced development may also result.
Reform is accelerating, progress/format may vary by region
After being identified by State Council as a target at end 2009/1H10, some
cities/provinces have started to introduce their own hukou reform plans.
Senior leadership support has been increasingly evident and hukou reform
may be featured in the 12th five year plan. We foresee faster progress in
regions with more urbanization need and talent demand, infrastructure
support capabilities, and greater financial capability to fund the associated
upfront costs. We expect the pace to be faster in smaller to mid sized cities,
central/western regions and select seaboard provinces with labor shortage.
Three themes of beneficiary companies; new baskets
This mid to longer-term theme will underpin three trends: 1) higher
demand for safety-net related (healthcare, education) consumption and
services products over time; 2) sustained demand for urbanization-related
upstream sectors; and 3) rising need to drive agricultural yields/efficiency
as agricultural labor flows into urban areas. Hukou reform will bring costs
to enterprises (to fund benefits etc) but these may be offset by lower staff
turnover (less recruiting/training costs), higher productivity.
相关论文: 户籍改革
